Pro-establishment narrative

It's hard to understand the reasoning leading China and Russia to oppose an official UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti. As the understaffed and underfunded MSS has failed to address gang violence in Haiti, this transition has become the only hope for the Caribbean country.

Establishment-critical narrative

Though a new UN peacekeeping operation would secure enough funding and troops for the mission in Haiti, this move is by no means a silver bullet in the fight against gangs — and it could prove deleterious to such an effort. Given the situation on the ground and past experiences in the country, deploying blue helmets to Haiti would be a mistake.

Nerd narrative

There's a 60% chance that Haiti will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Robotic surgery marks a revolutionary leap in organ transplantation, delivering unmatched precision and reducing complications for donors and recipients alike. This innovation is reshaping medical possibilities, ensuring safer procedures and better outcomes. While challenges like cost and accessibility remain, the global shift toward robotic methods highlights a profound transformation, promising a future where technology empowers surgeons to save lives with extraordinary efficiency.

Narrative B

While robotic surgery promises precision and innovation, it carries significant risks that demand caution. Mechanical failures, like malfunctioning robotic arms, can complicate procedures, while extended surgery times increase patient vulnerability. Unique hazards, such as unintended burns from electrical arcing, add to the mix. Surgeon experience and robust training are critical to safety, yet these remain inconsistent. Robotic surgery requires a delicate balance of optimism and vigilance.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the first medical treatment based on nanorobots will happen by September 2034, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

The US takes seriously the reckless rhetoric coming out of Russia. However, the US remains focused on supporting Ukraine for as long as it takes through Putin's war of choice and war of aggression. If he is concerned about escalation, he can pull his troops from Ukraine at any moment and stop invading his neighbor.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

This is the second major escalation by Russia. First, North Korean troops were deployed in the conflict, and now the Kremlin has deployed nuclear-capable weapons on the battlefield. The West must respond to these provocations to show Putin that his actions are unacceptable.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia has repeatedly warned the US and UK that firing its weapons into Russian territory, which cannot be done without the involvement of its specialists, would mark their direct participation in the conflict. Russia prefers to settle this conflict peacefully, but if provocations continue, it has no choice but to respond.

Nerd narrative

There is a 10% chance that there will be a US-Russia war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

Pres.-elect Donald Trump has made an excellent choice in selecting Pam Bondi for US attorney general. She has proven herself as an outstanding legal talent, having served both as a prosecutor and as the Sunshine State's attorney general for eight years. She is a real leader who will advocate for all Americans and restore justice and security to the nation.

Democratic narrative

Like Matt Gaetz, Pam Bondi is a Trump loyalist who is prepared to protect him in every regard. Unlike Gaetz, however, she is competent — meaning she will actually be able to implement Trump's concerning agenda. Democrats may disagree with her ideologically, but she knows what she's doing. She understands law and justice. That's why she is a more dangerous and effective pick than Gaetz.

Republican narrative

Since its inception, which was simply a quid pro quo between then-Pres. Jimmy Carter and a teachers union, the Department of Education has only prioritized federal overreach and ideological agendas over basic education. This has led to declining literacy rates and divisive curricula. Returning control to states and reallocating functions to existing agencies would improve efficiency and accountability.

Democratic narrative

The Department of Education is vital for equal access to education and the nation's democracy. It ensures funding for low-income schools, enforces anti-discrimination laws, supports students with disabilities, and distributes billions of dollars in grants and loans. Besides wasting time, expertise, and funding that is already in place, dismantling it risks deepening inequities, worsening teacher shortages, and abandoning federal accountability crucial for student success.

Left narrative

This may be just the first step toward holding Bolsonaro and his accomplices accountable for their coup attempt, but these recommended charges are great news because they indicate that investigators found enough evidence to believe they are guilty. It's shocking that a former president was behind a coup, and Bolsonaro eventually will end up in jail.

Right narrative

It's hardly a surprise that Brazilian authorities have formally called for Bolsonaro and several of his allies to be charged with coup plot. As long warned, the right-wing Brazilian leader has been politically persecuted since his first day out of office in a blatant example of leftist lawfare.

Nerd narrative

There's a 44.1% chance that Pres. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

Despite their best efforts, the corrupt prosecutors and judges of New York have been forced to drop their witch hunt cases. While it shouldn't have taken a Republican landslide to reach this conclusion, the American people can rest assured that the man they voted for will be free to govern the country without worrying about left-leaning lawfare.

Democratic narrative

Despite Trump's criminal history, Democrats should consider ending all of his cases for the sake of democracy's stability. The election's outcome — where voters chose him despite high-profile charges — renders a verdict on their legitimacy. While these were legitimate convictions, the Constitution encourages American leadership not to set dangerous, politically driven precedents after an election.

Nerd narrative

There is a 2% chance that Donald Trump will be jailed or incarcerated before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Right narrative

After causing the cost of living crisis and destroying Canadians with his COVID policies, Trudeau is conducting a shameful vote-buying scheme. Not only is this $250 offer a slap in the face to working Canadians, but many of the food items included in the tax break were already tax-exempt. This plan will not save the prime minister from his inevitable political demise.

Left narrative

Trudeau’s tax policy reflects an effort to provide immediate, broad relief during a global inflation crisis. While no one, not even the prime minister, would claim this is a complete economic solution, these measures demonstrate empathy and address widespread financial struggles, laying the groundwork for future stability.

Nerd narrative

There is an 85% chance that the Conservative Party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

Though there have been instances in which Turkey's unique geopolitical position has benefited the US and its Western allies, Ankara should be weary of hosting Hamas. The US has already shown that it is willing to act in terms of sanctioning Turkish figures who are willing to deal with terrorists. Indeed, Turkey must act wisely and maintain the values it shares with its allies.

Pro-Israel narrative

Hopefully, the coming Trump admin. will understand what the Biden admin. hasn't — Erdoğan is not a good ally and openly supports terror. In addition to its occupation of northern Cyprus, its hostility toward NATO-ally Greece, and relations with Putin's Russia, Erdoğan's Turkey has supported Hamas for over a decade. The US must ensure that Israel and Turkey return to their historic relationship of significant cooperation and trade.

Narrative C

It is rather hypocritical that the US thinks it can scold Turkey for having its own geopolitical calculations when Washington hosts members of designated terrorist groups. The ringleader of the terrorist Gülen Movement lived in Pennsylvania, and the US is actively supporting PKK terrorists in Syria, which has killed scores of Turkish civilians. Nonetheless, Israel's genocide in Gaza has forced Turkey's hand, and it must support the Palestinians.

Narrative D

Though Erdoğan may talk tough about Israel and nominally support the Palestinian cause, he's playing a geopolitical game to maximize Turkey's strategic position. Turkey and Israel have had many ups and downs in their relationship, and this will likely continue, though it depends on the leadership in Israel. Israeli-Turkish relations are certainly at a low point, but that does not mean that their historic relationship will come to an end.

Nerd narrative

There's an 8.6% chance that Turkey will be a member of the European Union by 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.